EBM News
EBM News

Covid graph sliding, India may have hit first peak

NEW DELHI:  While it may still be long before Covid-19 ceases to be major public health concern, the pandemic does seem to have slowed down in India suggesting that the country may have already reached at least the first peak. A look at the infection and death curve since last few weeks shows the active as well as the daily cases detected are registering a swift decline.

Between September 9 and 15, for example, 92,839 new cases were being recorded every day on an average which came down to 70,114 between October 7 and 13. The number of active cases, too, after reaching a peak of 10,17,754 on September 18, have been declining and stood at 8,12,390 on Thursday, as per the data released by Union health ministry . The case doubling time has increased to 72.8 days from 25.5 days in mid-August.

Another positive trend is the decline in number of daily deaths. On September 29, while India registered 1,179 Covid-19 deaths within a span of 24 hours, the daily fatality count has been under 800 for last three days. On Thursday, the country recorded 680 deaths in a 24-hour period, the lowest since July 27. 
The improved scenario is largely owing to the slowed pace of the pandemic in some of the worst-hit states like Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh and Tamil Nadu.